Senate

PredictIt traders betting on no Trump endorsement in GOP AL-SEN primary

Elections / / , , ,

On April 7, 2021, Former President Donald Trump endorsed six-term Republican Congressman Mo Brooks for the open Alabama Senate seat.  Nearly one year later, on March 23rd, Trump rescinded his endorsement of Brooks.  There has been speculation about how much of the “un-endorsement” was driven by Brooks’ desire to move past the 2020 Election versus […]

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Do gamblers see NH Senate race moving towards GOP?

Elections / / , , , , ,

When we looked at the betting markets a few weeks ago, gamblers were eyeing Republican wins in 11 of the 12 Senate races where both PredictIt and SBK were taking action.  In the past week, gamblers seem to see the 12th race – New Hampshire – as moving towards the GOP. PredictIt, Smarkets, and SBK

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PredictIt and SBK forecasting Republican Senate gains in 2022

Elections / / , , , ,

PredictIt is a U.S.-based prediction market and SBK is a British sports betting app, but both are indicating that political gamblers see Republicans making gains in the U.S. Senate this year (at least as of Friday, February 4, 2022).  The probabilities in the 12 Senate races where both platforms are currently accepting action are extremely

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