Kalshi

Kalshi, PredictIt (faintly) see a new Supreme Court Justice in 2022

Government / / , , ,

With it looking increasingly likely that Republicans will control the Senate after the 2022 midterm elections, Democrats are stepping up pressure on Justice Stephen Breyer to retire while their party retains a slim majority (51-50) in the U.S. Senate. As of January 13th, both PredictIt (Yes: $0.56) and Kalshi (Yes: $0.52) traders think it’s slightly […]

Kalshi, PredictIt (faintly) see a new Supreme Court Justice in 2022 Read More »

Kalshi v. PredictIt on U.S. Debt Ceiling

Government / / , ,

As Congress considers raising the Debt Ceiling yet again, Kalshi and PredictIt traders have different takes on whether (or rather when) Congress will take action this week. While their respective binary contracts operate similarly, the platforms themselves differ a great deal: PredictIt is a prediction market.  There are limits to both market size and amount

Kalshi v. PredictIt on U.S. Debt Ceiling Read More »