This November’s midterm election will see 36 Gubernatorial races and 35 U.S. Senate races. Of the 44 states with at least one of those elections, 26 states will hold both. PredictIt currently has a market for 17 Senate races and 17 Gubernatorial races, but only one state has traders splitting their proverbial ticket: Pennsylvania. Traders […]
Where are political traders splitting tickets? Read More »
Yesterday, April 5th, PredictIt updated its 2022 Oregon Gubernatorial market by adding an “Independent” contract along with the existing Republican and Democratic contracts. This is clearly to account for Betsy Johnson’s independent (technically “Nonaffiliated”) campaign for Oregon Governor. We previously looked at this market back in November when then-State Senator Betsy Johnson’s independent candidacy was
PredictIt Updates Oregon Gov. Market for Betsy Johnson Read More »
As of Thanksgiving Day, PredictIt’s market in the Oregon 2022 Governor’s election contained price discrepancies in the “Best Buy” Republican and Democrat contracts. PredictIt offers binary option contracts: an event either happens or does not happen (Yes or No). A “winning” prediction receives $1/share, and a “losing” share receives nothing. PredictIt traders can buy “Yes”
