Putin

Are prediction markets linking Putin’s survival to success in Bakhmut?

The Battle of Bakhmut technically began on August 1, 2022, but escalation by both Russia and Ukraine over the winter turned it into World War I-style trench warfare.  Russian troops are slowly and steadily gaining ground in and around the city at the cost of high casualties.  At the same time, the upcoming Russian presidential […]

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Prediction markets betting against nuclear Armageddon in 2022

Since the very beginning of his country’s invasion of Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin has made threats of using nuclear weapons.  More veiled threats by Putin on September 21st, specifically to use “all available means,” prompted United States President Joe Biden to warn of a nuclear “Armageddon” two weeks later. While Biden compared this “direct

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Gamblers are betting on Putin to remain in power through 2022

Even for a self-proclaimed “gaffe machine,” President Joe Biden outdid himself on March 26th with the declaration, “For God’s sake, this man cannot remain in power.”  Biden’s bold statement was quickly walked back by the White House: “He was not discussing Putin’s power in Russia, or regime change.” Despite the President of the United States

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