Markets on Insight Prediction

With four weeks left until PredictIt’s scheduled execution by the CFTC on February 15th, we’re taking a look at the markets offered by one of its competitors, Insight Prediction.

Excluding sports, as of January 19th there are 36 markets in five categories:

CategoryMarkets
Current Events10
Economics4
Russia/Ukraine6
US Politics14
World Politics2

There are three markets with a volume greater than $10,000:

  • Will Predictit Survive?
  • Will Insight Prediction Become a Unicorn by the End of 2025?
  • Who Will Win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?

Five of the 36 markets still have no trades:

  • Will Twitter Have an Outage by January 31st?
  • Will Twitter Report More Than 240 Million Monthly Active Users in Q4 2022? 
  • Chess: Will GM Hans Niemann Win His Lawsuit?
  • Will Avraham Eisenberg Be Found Guilty and Sentenced for Market Manipulation?
  • Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (BTC)

Below are all the non-sport Insight markets with volume, end date, and category.  Markets are sorted by end date and the market ID number contains the link to that market.

IDTitleVolumeCoinEnd DateCategory
19366Will Annual **Nominal U.S. GDP Growth** Be Above 7.5% in 2022?250USD1/26/2023Economics
64565Chess: Will FIDE Ban Hans Niemann?1101USD2/1/2023Current Events
714Who Will Be Senate Majority Leader on Feb. 1, 2023?7714.51USD2/2/2023US Politics
141280Will Twitter Have an Outage by January 31st?0USD2/2/2023Current Events
149454How Much Will ‘Avatar: The Way of Water’ Gross Domestically by January 31, 2023?465USD2/2/2023Current Events
18505Will Predictit Survive?13175USD2/16/2023Current Events
104274Will Ukraine Control Sievierodonetsk on February 15, 2023?865USD2/16/2023Russia/Ukraine
110559Will Ukraine Control Melitopol on February 15th?1664.1USD2/16/2023Russia/Ukraine
106404Will Twitter Report More Than 240 Million Monthly Active Users in Q4 2022? 0USD3/1/2023Current Events
141886Will Russia Take Bakhmut by February 28th, 2023?696USD3/1/2023Russia/Ukraine
119797How Many Countries Will Ratify NATO Accession of Finland or Sweden by March 1?1911USD3/2/2023World Politics
152Will the NBER Declare a Recession in 2022?6290USD3/31/2023Economics
148381How Many Motion to Vacate Votes in the US House Before April?7500USD4/1/2023US Politics
140984Will Trump Tweet Before April 2023?2000USD4/2/2023Current Events
146545Will a Motion to Vacate the Chair Pass the US House Before June?1015USD6/2/2023US Politics
146546Who Will Be the Senate-confirmed Treasury Secretary on July 1st, 2023?250USD6/2/2023US Politics
149002Will Donald Trump, Joe Biden, or Hunter Biden be Charged with a Federal or State Crime Before July?1107USD6/2/2023US Politics
120503Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia on June 30th, 2023?3521USD7/1/2023Russia/Ukraine
729Will Joe Biden Be Impeached by June 30, 2023?3514USD7/2/2023US Politics
120500Will the Russia-Ukraine War End by June 30th, 2023?1693USD7/2/2023Russia/Ukraine
12448Who Will Win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?14057.68USD7/6/2023US Politics
67960Will Elon Musk Father Another Child Before August 2023?6833USD8/2/2023Current Events
146589Will Russia Control Any Formerly Ukrainian Territories Other Than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on September 1, 2023?1157USD9/2/2023Russia/Ukraine
74967Chess: Will GM Hans Niemann Win His Lawsuit?0USD1/1/2024Current Events
402Will Obergefell v. Hodges be Overturned by 2024?818.88USD1/2/2024Current Events
93695When Will Rishi Sunak Leave Office?302USD1/2/2024World Politics
147845Will There Be a NY-03 Special Election in 2023?1USD1/2/2024US Politics
212Who Will Be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024?1954USD1/3/2024US Politics
149756Will the NBER Declare a Recession in 2023?600USD4/1/2024Economics
149515Will Avraham Eisenberg Be Found Guilty and Sentenced for Market Manipulation?0USD4/2/2024Current Events
16502Who Will Win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?8437.56USD10/1/2024US Politics
18056Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (BTC)0BTC12/15/2024US Politics
748Will Joe Biden Resign During his First Term?2565.35USD1/20/2025US Politics
67Which Party Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?197.05USD1/21/2025US Politics
18453Will Kamala Harris Be the 47th US President? (ETH)0.71ETH2/1/2025US Politics
223Will Insight Prediction Become a Unicorn by the End of 2025?40488.99USD1/5/2026Economics

A previous article looked at the different markets available on both platforms.