Elections

Public Comments Slam CFTC Proposed Election Contract Ban

In the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) third public comment hearing regarding election contracts in the past two years, public comments overwhelmingly opposed the proposed rule, with 755 comments opposing, 7 supporting, and 59 unclear, duplications, or spam. Information about the two prior public comment periods can be found here. This most recent public comment […]

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Pollster Rating Wars!

With both sides surviving the 2020 Model Wars, the election forecasting blood feud continues through another election. In April 2023, news leaked out that Nate Silver and several FiveThirtyEight staffers would be victims of Disney’s mass layoffs.  Silver’s last day working for “The Mouse” was June 30th and per his contract, ABC/Disney kept rights to

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Does the Vice-Presidential pick matter?

The inane speculation about Donald Trump’s Vice-Presidential nominee is in full swing, with the media having just finished covering all of the silly possibilities for RFK Jr.’s pick.  (It wasn’t Aaron Rodgers.) This article aims to measure how much the VP pick matters to political traders using share prices from Presidential markets in the Iowa

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