How did FiveThirtyEight’s model perform over time?
We previously looked at Brier scores for The Economist’s 2020 Presidential model predictions over time, and surprisingly found the scores worsened closer to Election Day. Given the closeness of their predictions, I assumed FiveThirtyEight’s Brier scores would trend the same way but was wrong again. In the chart below you can see Brier scores for […]
How did FiveThirtyEight’s model perform over time? Read More »